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Friday, October 2, 2026
Everything Ohio State vs Iowa Football Predictions
Iowa has one path to pulling off the upset against Ohio State but the Buckeyes are built to make that path impossible
Iowa can drag Ohio State into the kind of ugly low-scoring game it doesn’t want to play, but this Buckeyes team has too much talent and explosiveness to stay there for four quarters.
By: Tegan Randolph
The Ohio State Buckeyes are traveling to Iowa to take on the Hawkeyes, and while the setting might scream trap game to some (and something ESPN is likely banking on), the reality of this matchup tells a very different story.
What Iowa needs to do to potentially pull off an upset
Let’s live in la-la land with fairy tales, butterflies, and unicorns for a second. What does Iowa have to do to win this game? They have to play Iowa football. The Hawkeyes have to drag Ohio State into the mud, get the Buckeyes to their level, limit the explosives, and try to stop the best player on the face of the planet in Jeremiah Smith. They need to run the football effectively, not make mistakes, and keep this a low-scoring affair.
And you may say, Tegan, that sounds like it could work. Sure, in theory. Iowa is going to need maybe one, probably two plays on special teams to swing the game. And on top of that, they’re going to need a disaster class from Ohio State. Maybe force quarterback Julian Sayin into some really tough predicaments, which I think Iowa has the capabilities of doing. Their defense is built for that kind of disruption. But, there’s a problem with that logic actually coming to fruition for the Hawkeyes.
Ohio State is immune to this kind of game
Here’s where I stand on this matchup and the way Iowa is going to approach it. I think this iteration of Ohio State football is immune to this kind of game.
Outside of what we saw with Purdue, and you can look at examples way far into the past, this Buckeyes team has been built to avoid the mud fight. They are too talented, too deep, and too explosive for Iowa to contain them for four quarters. Jeremiah Smith alone is a matchup nightmare that the Hawkeyes simply don’t have an answer for, and when you pair him with the rest of that Ohio State roster, it gets ugly fast.
The only thing I’ve seen talked about online is Iowa covering the 14.5-point spread. Sure, I think they could backdoor into that. But if the basis of a bet is a backdoor cover, it’s not a good bet. That tells you everything you need to know about where this game is headed.
I think Ohio State rolls past Iowa in this game. And I’m putting my confidence where my mouth is. If I’m wrong on this, I’ll wear a clown nose. I’ll put up the same wager I had with Florida and Ole Miss. And frankly, I’m more confident about this game being an Ohio State dominant victory than I was about either of those. I believe the Buckeyes win big, and College GameDay picked the wrong game of the week to travel to.
Ohio State vs. Iowa prediction, pick, odds, spread: Buckeyes face another road test at Hawkeyes
No. 5 Ohio State travels to Iowa City for a Big Ten showdown with the No. 14 Hawkeyes
By David Cobb
Iowa and Ohio State are squaring off as top-15 foes for the first time since 2006 on Saturday, when the No. 14 Hawkeyes host the No. 5 Buckeyes on CBS. The Big Ten showdown brings a moment of tension for Ohio State, which suffered a 55-24 loss during its last visit to Kinnick Stadium in 2017.
With one loss already, the Buckeyes can ill-afford a stumble as they enter a month that also includes trips to No. 6 Indiana and No. 18 USC. For Iowa, this represents a breakthrough opportunity on the heels of a last-second win at Michigan in Week 4.
That victory propelled Iowa to 4-0 for the first time since 2021, when the Hawkeyes rose all the way to No. 2 in the AP poll on their way to an appearance in the Big Ten Championship Game. Beating the Buckeyes would put Iowa on a similar trajectory and send its playoff chances skyrocketing.
Ohio State won the last two meetings by 28 (2024) and 44 (2022), but there are signs that these Hawkeyes are better equipped to stage a competitive battle as these Big Ten stalwarts square off in Iowa City for the first time in nearly a decade.
Ohio State vs. Iowa: Need to know
Iowa's offensive punch: Iowa ranks No. 48 nationally in total offense entering this showdown, which is hardly remarkable on the surface. But after ranking 117th or worse in total offense for the past five seasons, it's a marked improvement. The Hawkeyes struggled to run the football against Michigan last week, but quarterback Hank Brown led a game-winning drive capped by a touchdown pass to Reece Vander Zee on the game's final play. Considering the hostility of Michigan Stadium and the quality of the opponent, it was the sort of clutch, late-game execution that would have been unfathomable for the Iowa offense at any point over the past several years.
Ohio State's defensive questions: Ohio State ranks just 27th in total defense through four games, down from finishing the 2025 season at No. 1 in that metric. Considering seven players from last season's defense were selected in the 2026 NFL Draft, it's not shocking that the Buckeyes have dropped off a bit. But the slide came with a cost in a Week 2 loss at Texas, when Ohio State's defense couldn't get off the field over the final 20 minutes as the Longhorns rallied from a 23-3 deficit to win 24-23. Illinois racked up 462 yards and 25 first downs on Ohio State last week. Though the Buckeyes won 42-19, it wasn't a banner day for coordinator Matt Patricia's defense, which comes into this game with some questions to answer.
Jeremiah Smith making history: Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith is on a blistering pace with 33 receptions for 617 yards and seven touchdowns through four games. The junior star is one touchdown away from tying Chris Olave for most receiving touchdowns in program history and just five away from matching ex-Michigan star Braylon Edwards for most receiving touchdowns in Big Ten history at 39. Smith is on track to become the first player to ever lead the Big Ten in receiving yards three times. He's also likely to surpass K.J. Hill and Emeka Egbuka for most receptions in Ohio State history in the near future.
Where to watch Ohio State vs. Iowa live
Date: Saturday, Oct. 3 | Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Kinnick Stadium -- Iowa City, Iowa
Ohio State vs. Iowa prediction, picks
Ohio State's defense is suspect enough that Iowa's offense -- on track to be the program's best in years -- may actually put up some points. However, the Hawkeyes aren't quite as stingy on defense as usual, which means slowing the Buckeyes down enough to keep the game within two touchdowns could be hard. Look for Iowa to make this a competitive game until Ohio State's superior skill talent (see: Jeremiah Smith) creates separation down the stretch. But it's close enough of a call that bettors seeing Ohio State -14.5 should consider the Iowa side. Pick: Ohio State -13.5
By Josh Poloha
For the first time this season, and for the first time ever with the Buckeye Stripes, Ohio State will wear alternate jerseys in Iowa City on Saturday.
The Buckeyes are set to wear their all-white, “Sub Zero” uniforms against Iowa, a source told Eleven Warriors.
It marks the first time since 2024 that Ohio State will wear its all-white uniforms. It also marks the third time ever that OSU will wear the "Sub Zero" whites, as the Buckeyes wore the all-white uniforms with the old shoulder stripes against Oregon in 2024 and Michigan State in 2020. Ohio State wore another all-white uniform – affectionately known as its “Cocaine Whites” – for road games at Michigan in 2013 and Penn State in 2014.
Photos: Ohio State’s New Scarlet Rush and Sub Zero Uniforms with Buckeye Stripes
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The Buckeyes showcased all-white cleats with a scarlet Nike swoosh leading up to their top-four showdown at Texas two weeks ago. Expect them to return on Saturday to pair with Ohio State's all-white uniforms against Iowa.
OSU will reveal its full uniform for the Iowa game at 3:30 p.m. Friday, 24 hours before kickoff.
The Hawkeyes are expected to wear either all-black uniforms or their traditional home uniform, which features black jerseys with gold pants.
Ohio State and Iowa are set to kick off in Iowa City at 3:30 p.m. ET. The top-14 matchup will be televised on CBS. ESPN's College GameDay will be on site Saturday morning.
Week 5 College Football TV Schedule - October 2-October 3, 2026
Week 5 schedule
Friday, Oct. 2
FBS
Pitt at Virginia Tech | 7 p.m. | ESPN
Liberty at Delaware | 7 p.m. | CBSSN
Penn State at Northwestern | 8 p.m. | FOX
Saturday, Oct. 3
No. 3 Notre Dame at North Carolina | 12 p.m. | ESPN
No. 7 Alabama at No. 16 Mississippi State | 12 p.m. | ABC
UCF at No. 20 Houston | 12 p.m. | ESPN2
Boston College at No. 21 SMU | 12 p.m. | CW
Michigan at Minnesota | 12 p.m. | FOX
Middle Tennessee at Kansas | 12 p.m. | ESPNU
West Virginia at Iowa State | 12 p.m. | TNT
Stanford at Wake Forest | 12 p.m. | ACC Network
Syracuse at UConn | 12 p.m. | CBSSN
Navy at Air Force | 12 p.m. | CBS
Michigan State at Wisconsin | 12:30 p.m. | Big Ten Network
Vanderbilt at No. 2 Georgia | 12:45 p.m. | SEC Network
Western Michigan at Buffalo | 1 p.m. | ESPN+
Toledo at Ball State | 2 p.m. | ESPN+
No. 5 Ohio State at No. 14 Iowa | 3:30 p.m. | CBS
No. 8 Florida at No. 25 Missouri | 3:30 p.m. | ABC
Auburn at No. 17 Tennessee | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN
Louisville at NC State | 3:30 p.m. | ACC Network
Cal at UNLV | 3:30 p.m. | CBSSN
Virginia at Florida State | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN2
Memphis at Charlotte | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN+
Samford at UAB | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN+
Wyoming at North Dakota State | 3:30 p.m. | CW
Akron at Central Michigan | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at UMass | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN+
Ohio at Kent State | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN+
Bowling Green at Miami (Ohio) | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN+
Old Dominion at Georgia State | 3:30 p.m. | ESPN+
Marshall at James Madison | 3:45 p.m. | ESPNU
Maryland at Nebraska | 4 p.m. | FS1
UTEP at New Mexico | 4 p.m. | MW+
No. 24 Kentucky at South Carolina | 4:15 p.m. | SEC Network
Purdue at Illinois | 4:15 p.m. | Big Ten Network
Oregon State at Colorado State | 6 p.m. | USA Network
Texas Southern at Florida Atlantic | 6 p.m. | ESPN+
No. 10 BYU at TCU | 7 p.m. | ESPN
Arkansas at Texas A&M | 7 p.m. | ESPN2
UTSA at Rice | 7 p.m. | ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Costal Carolina | 7 p.m. | ESPN+
UL Monroe at South Alabama | 7 p.m. | ESPN+
No. 4 Miami (Fla.) at Clemson | 7:30 p.m. | ABC
No. 12 Texas Tech at Colorado | 7:30 p.m. | FOX
Washington at No. 18 USC | 7:30 p.m. | NBC
Utah State at No. 22 Boise State | 7:30 p.m. | CBSSN
Temple at South Florida | 7:30 p.m. | ESPNU
Army at Louisiana Tech | 7:30 p.m. | ESPN+
McNeese at No. 11 LSU | 7:45 p.m. | SEC Network
No. 6 Indiana at Rutgers | 8 p.m. | Big Ten Network
Arkansas State at Louisiana | 8 p.m. | ESPN+
Fresno State at Washington State | 9:30 p.m. | USA Network
Baylor at Arizona State | 10:30 p.m. | ESPN
Texas State at San Diego State | 10:30 p.m. | CW
Cincinnati at Arizona | 11 p.m. | FOX
San Jose State at Hawai'i | 11:59 p.m. | MW+
Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Week 4 College Football Top 25 and Power Rankings September 28-October 3, 2026
Week 4 College Football Top 25 and Power Rankings September 28-October 3, 2026
1 Texas 4-0 1
2 Georgia 4-0 2
3 Miami 4-0 4
4 Notre Dame 4-0 5
5 Ohio State 3-1 7
6 Indiana 4-0 6
7 Alabama 4-0 8
8 Florida 4-0 16
9 BYU 3-0 9
10 Ole Miss 3-1 3
11 LSU 3-1 10
12 Texas Tech 4-0 12
13 Iowa 4-0 18
14 Utah 4-0 15
15 Oregon 3-1 20
16 Mississippi State 4-0 21
17 UCLA 4-0 29
18 Tennessee 3-1 13
19 USC 4-1 11
20 Oklahoma State 3-1 34
21 Houston 3-1 24
22 Duke 4-0 35
23 Wake Forest 3-1 46
24 Missouri 3-1 19
25 Pittsburgh 4-0 32
Biggest movers
No. 23 Wake Forest (+23): A road win against a top team sets up Wake Forest's big splash inside the top 25 of the CBS Sports 138. The Demon Deacons are 3-1 on the year, with the only loss coming to Miami, and even that 13-point loss marks the toughest game the Hurricanes have played all year. Beating Louisville has put the Deans on the map, and now they get to defend this new status with a stretch of winnable ACC games.
No. 20 Oklahoma State (+14): The season-opening loss to Tulsa may be a bit of a weight on the Cowboys' ranking for now, but with an Oregon win on the resume and now a solid conference road victory at West Virginia, the voters have changed their tune.
No. 22 Duke (+13): We are not projecting that a win against William & Mary was what sparked the upward ranking movement, instead acknowledging that the Blue Devils stand out as a 4-0 team with multiple power conference wins. Duke has been buzzing around the top 35 ever since its win at Illinois in Week 2, and now some space has opened up for a move as other teams have taken losses.
No. 17 UCLA (+12): Saturday's 54-3 blowout win at Maryland got our voters' attention in a big way for its margin and also the quality of play from the Bruins in a cross-country road spot. Bob Chesney's group out-gained the Terps 475-to-180 and allowed just one third-down conversion all game.
No. 33 Louisville (-16): Just like with Wake Forest's rise, there is a predictable drop for the Cards, who now have two close defeats on a resume that's mostly hurt by its 2-2 record. For Louisville, it's frustrating to note that the team is just a few plays away from being 4-0 and near the top of the rankings if things had gone differently against Ole Miss and Wake Forest, but coming up short on those tight margins doesn't help win debates in this stretch of the rankings.
No. 39 Texas A&M (-16): The Aggies just haven't looked like the top 10 team that many expected coming into the year. The presence of Marcel Reed and respect for Mike Elko kept Texas A&M in a respectable position in the rankings for a couple of weeks, but back-to-back conference losses have spiked their top-30 status.
No. 48 Oklahoma (-17): It is truly striking to see Oklahoma down here near the edge of the top 50, keeping pace with some of the lower-rated teams in the SEC. This excellent defense needs to be celebrated even as the offensive execution craters, but in order to win games and move up in the rankings, you have to score points, and that's not happening easily with this group.
No. 32 Penn State (-18): A fitting tumble for a disappointing collapse after Penn State blew a double-digit lead at home to Wisconsin. The Nittany Lions can bounce back up inside the top 30 and even top 20 by stacking conference wins in the coming weeks, but this was a big opportunity lost to remain at the top of the pack for the Big Ten standings.
We enter October with six new teams in the CBS Sports Power Rankings.
BIGGEST MOVERS
14 UCLA 13 USC
CHG
RCRD
1
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TEXAS Colin Simmons tied a program record with five sacks, and Texas escaped Tennessee 20-17, its first road win as the AP No. 1 team since 1984. Arch Manning was sacked six times. The defense carried him. -- 4-0
2
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GEORGIA Georgia buried Oklahoma 41-13, becoming the third SEC team to win its first four games by 28-plus points. The Bulldogs have beaten 52 straight unranked opponents, the nation's longest active streak. -- 4-0
3
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OHIO STATE Jeremiah Smith caught four touchdowns, tying a school record, in a 42-19 win over Illinois. He's two TD catches from passing Chris Olave for the program record. Next: a trip to unbeaten Iowa on CBS. -- 3-1
4
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MIAMI (FLA.) Darian Mensah has more touchdown passes (14) than incompletions (12) through four games, a first for an FBS quarterback in 30 years. Miami's 42.8-point average margin is a program best through four games. Next: a road game at Clemson. -- 4-0
5
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NOTRE DAME Notre Dame rolled 49-10 at Purdue, its 19th straight win over an unranked team, all by 14-plus points. CJ Carr tied a career high with four total touchdowns. Marcus Freeman has never started 5-0. 1 4-0
6
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ALABAMA Keelon Russell is on Heisman Watch after accounting for 400 yards and five touchdowns in a 49-18 rout of South Carolina. Alabama has won its first four by 14-plus for the first time since its 2020 title run. The cowbells beckon. 2 4-0
7
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FLORIDA Florida ran for 302 yards, a school record against a top-five foe, in a 52-28 rout of Ole Miss. Are the Gators a sleeping giant? "It's not asleep, but it ain't fully awake yet," Jon Sumrall said. 9 4-0
8
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INDIANA Indiana wobbled, but Lee Beebe Jr. ran for 203 yards in a 29-23 escape against Northwestern, the Hoosiers' 20th straight win. RB Turbo Richard suffered a high-ankle sprain. 1 4-0
9
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LSU LSU pounded Texas A&M 35-6, snapping a six-game skid against ranked teams. Sam Leavitt threw for 312 yards despite a hamstring injury. Injuries are piling up. LB White Weeks suffered a leg fracture. Good thing McNeese State is next. -- 3-1
10
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TENNESSEE Faizon Brandon was sacked 10 times, and Tennessee still had a shot at No. 1 Texas before falling 20-17. Josh Heupel said his freshman QB wasn't good enough. He faces his former OC, Alex Golesh, and Auburn next. 1 3-1
11
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MISS. STATE The Bulldogs snapped a 14-game losing streak in ranked-on-ranked matchups, the longest in AP poll history, beating Missouri 31-24 in a thriller. Heisman contender Kamario Taylor threw for 360 yards. Undefeated Alabama comes to Starkville next. 12 4-0
12
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UCLA Bob Chesney's Bruins are 4-0 for the first time since 2022 after a 54-3 demolition at Maryland, the program's largest margin in a Big Ten game. Wayne Knight has nine rushing touchdowns. A trip to Oregon in two weeks looms. NR 4-0
13
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OREGON Dante Moore was taken to the hospital by ambulance after a targeted hit. Dylan Raiola replaced him and threw for 289 yards in a 41-27 win at USC, Oregon's school-record fifth straight over the Trojans. Are the Ducks quacking back? 4 3-1
14
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UTAH Morgan Scalley is 5-0 as a head coach, all by double digits, after a 31-17 road win at Iowa State. The Utes have won 10 straight, their longest streak since 2007-09. 8 4-0
15
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OLE MISS Ole Miss misses RB Kewan Lacy, but the defense has serious problems. The Rebels allowed 50-plus points for the first time in 59 games as a top-five team. "That was an old-fashioned butt whooping," Pete Golding said. 10 3-1
16
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IOWA Hank Brown hit Reece Vander Zee for 16 yards on the final play, capping a 91-yard drive in a 20-19 stunner at Michigan. It was Iowa's first win in Ann Arbor since 2010. Ohio State visits next on CBS. 2 4-0
17
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TEXAS TECH Austin Romaine returned interceptions for touchdowns on consecutive throws, the first FBS player to do it since 2013. But QB Will Hammond threw three first-half picks in a 49-14 win over Sam Houston State. 5 4-0
18
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BYU BYU sat at home during a bye. The Cougars averaged 6.7 yards per carry over three games, and LJ Martin sits 131 yards shy of 3,000 for his career. TCU is next. 1 3-0
19
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NEBRASKA Matt Rhule's Huskers opened Big Ten play with a 31-13 win at Michigan State. Vincent Genatone scored twice, and the defense forced three turnovers. Downtrodden Maryland comes to Lincoln this week. NR 4-0
20
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VIRGINIA TECH James Franklin is 4-0 in Blacksburg, the Hokies' best start since 2017. Jeffrey Overton Jr. ran for 209 yards in a rain-soaked 21-14 comeback at Boston College. Pitt visits Friday in a battle of unbeatens. NR 4-0
21
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PITTSBURGH Mason Heintschel threw six touchdowns in a 59-0 rout of Bucknell, becoming the first ACC quarterback with two six-TD games in a season. And yet he has not thrown a TD against a power-conference opponent. NR 4-0
22
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DUKE Manny Diaz lost a pile of talent, including quarterback Darian Mensah to Miami, and is 4-0 anyway after a 62-7 romp over William & Mary. Duke's eight-game streak matches its longest since 1940-41. Diaz is coach of the year material. NR 4-0
23
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USC Lincoln Riley is 5-14 against ranked teams at USC after a 41-27 home loss to Oregon. Linebacker Desman Stephens II, ejected for targeting Dante Moore, was suspended one game over the hit and his celebration. Trojans need a big win. 13 4-1
24
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MISSOURI Missouri led 24-17 in the second half and lost 31-24 at Mississippi State, its ninth straight loss in ranked matchups. Eli Drinkwitz is 0-16 against opponents that finish above .500 in SEC play. Unbeaten Florida visits Saturday. 10 3-1
25
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OKLAHOMA STATE Eric Morris has 92 new players and the Cowboys already own wins over Oregon and, now, West Virginia. Drew Mestemaker threw for 389 yards in a 41-24 win in Morgantown after trailing 14-3. NR 3-1
Monday, September 28, 2026
Ohio State Football vs Illinois Recap
Ohio State defeated Illinois 42-19 to open Big Ten play, led by a historic four-touchdown day from Jeremiah Smith and arguably the best performance of quarterback Julian Sayin’s career. The result: Illinois fired defensive coordinator Bobby Hauck on Sunday after just four games.
The No. 5 Buckeyes (3-1, 1-0 Big Ten) have trailed for just 25 seconds this season, but there have been some concerning moments from a defense that gave up 462 yards against the Illini, the most since defensive coordinator Matt Patricia arrived last season.
Here are a few final thoughts before we move on to a top-15 matchup at No. 14 Iowa on Saturday.
Week 4's biggest winners and loser: Fans down south, classless act on field
Ohio State is blitzing more. Is it working?
It blitzed on 56.5 percent of dropbacks in a 48-10 win over UCLA last year. The next two highest percentages, per TruMedia’s accounting? The last two weeks: 52 percent against Kent State and 44.2 percent against Illinois.
Determining what is a blitz can be difficult because, as Patricia said last week, sometimes the Buckeyes can “blitz” with four depending on the numbers advantage and alignment. Linebacker Payton Pierce’s sack in the fourth quarter wasn’t necessarily a blitz, but it came from Ohio State showing blitz and dropping Riley Pettijohn into coverage, freeing up Pierce.
On my Sunday rewatch of the Illinois game, I tracked each time Ohio State sent at least five defenders at the quarterback. It confirmed everything I saw Saturday: Ohio State needs to adjust how it blitzes and execute better when it does.
Let’s give credit to Illinois. The Illini came in with a strong game plan. They challenged Ohio State’s man coverage and found the right holes in the zone coverage when Ohio State switched. Still, the Buckeyes could’ve done a better job of making pressures against quarterback Katin Houser count.
By my count, the Buckeyes sent five or more players on 13 of his 37 dropbacks, but one of them was called back because of an Illinois holding penalty. On those 13 plays, Illinois tallied 84 yards, two of which went for more than 20 yards. Ohio State forced four incomplete passes and did not register a sack on these plays.
Ohio State’s three sacks came from Kenyatta Jackson bulldozing a tight end, Pettijohn winning on a stunt on third down and Pierce coming free on a four-man rush.
So if Ohio State blitzed 13 times and didn’t register a sack, giving up positive yardage on seven of those plays, is that a good performance? Let’s call it a mixed bag.
Two of those plays were 1-yard catches, so I’d put those in the win column. One was a 33-yard blown coverage when Pierce couldn’t get in position to cover the running back in man coverage. Another was a 21-yard second down when Ohio State sent pressure in zone, and then there was the 13-yard fourth-down completion when Jermaine Mathews Jr., who had a good day overall, got beat in off coverage on an out route.
Four games in, Ohio State is still searching for an identity up front. It can’t sit back and traditionally rush four defensive linemen because it doesn’t have the top-end talent to help Jackson.
I thought its most consistent pass rush package came on third down with Khary Wilder and Pettijohn wreaking havoc on the interior of Illinois’ offensive line. I saw three plays when Patricia decided to run motion action up front using Wilder and Pettijohn. One of them ended in a Pettijohn sack, and the others were incomplete passes due to the pressure those two created.
Wilder led the team with four pressures on 11 pass rush snaps, while Pettijohn finished second with three pressures.
Ohio State is still far from a finished product on defense, and Saturday’s blitzing showed just that. But the third-down package is something it can continue to explore.
Is Ohio State’s run defense a concern?
Ohio State’s run defense has been bad in big moments, especially the second half against Texas when it gave up 4.3 yards per carry. Nothing compared to Saturday’s performance against Illinois, though.
The Buckeyes gave up 199 yards and 6 yards per carry. Per TruMedia, that included an average of 4.17 yards before contact, which is the highest number since it lost to Clemson in the 2019 Fiesta Bowl.
Two runs especially raised that average. First was the 37-yarder by Aidan Laughery where he bounced off multiple offensive linemen but wasn’t touched by an Ohio State player until he was more than 30 yards downfield. A few plays later, Jordan Anderson went untouched for a 22-yard touchdown when Illinois made a good call to motion over a player from right to left against Ohio State’s man coverage to get a numbers advantage on the right. It worked to perfection.
I don’t think Ohio State was outright bad against the run. On an important third-and-short, with Ohio State leading 28-13 on the first play of the fourth quarter, Will Smith Jr. won immediately in the middle for a tackle for a loss. That was one of Ohio State’s five tackles for a loss in the game.
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Of course, three of the tackles for a loss were sacks. Ohio State struggled to create negative plays against the Illinois run game. And when the running backs got to the linebackers and safeties, they did a nice job of bouncing from a covered-up hole to a second option that was open, leaving Ohio State defenders playing catch-up.
Everything needs to be looked at before playing an Iowa team that is going to run the ball and try to control the clock. Giving up chunk runs because somebody reads the wrong gap or the alignment is off could lead to a loss in a tough environment at Kinnick Stadium.
Smith scored TDs in all kinds of ways against an Illinois defense that had no answers.
Julian Sayin’s best performance
Smith deserves all the credit he got after his 217-yard, four-touchdown performance. I think Saturday was also Sayin’s best performance, as he completed 27 of 36 attempts for 367 yards and four touchdowns, while adding a touchdown on the ground.
After the game, coach Ryan Day said he challenged Sayin to use his legs more. He did so, running for 29 yards, converting five third downs with his legs and adding a 7-yard touchdown run.
The touchdown capped Sayin’s most impressive sequence of the day. With 1:32 left in the first half, he led Ohio State down the field, finishing the drive with a three-play sequence after Ohio State faced first-and-18 because of a holding penalty.
He hit Nate Roberts across the middle for 20 yards, found Phillip Bell in the seam for 23 yards and then, at the 7-yard line, when the passing play was covered in the end zone, got out of the pocket and ran into the end zone.
It was a big growth moment for Sayin, who has struggled to make a connection with players other than Smith this season, has struggled throwing in the seam much of his career and hasn’t made many plays with his legs.
On top of that, Sayin was also good against pressure. TruMedia said that Sayin was pressured on just four passes and completed two of them for 40 yards, including a 26-yard touchdown pass to Smith. That pass, a throw against one-on-one coverage that had to be perfect as Smith beat his man to the corner of the end zone, was the epitome of his growth Saturday as he took the hit while releasing the ball. Eight different players had a reception, and though Devin McCuin had just four receptions as the second receiver, his five targets were a result of the tight ends getting more work. Roberts’ four receptions on four targets were a career high.
If Sayin can build on Saturday, Ohio State’s offense, which scored on six of its eight drives, will give defenses trouble the rest of the season — including an Iowa defense that gave up a season-high 276 passing yards to Michigan.
Ohio State still needs to find more explosive plays in the run game, but the passing game is becoming even more of a strength.
Ohio State opened the conference slate on Saturday at home against Illinois. The Illibuck Trophy remains in Columbus after the Buckeyes took care of the Fighting Illini in a 42-19 win that felt a lot closer for most of the afternoon as Illinois won the third quarter.
A 23-point win seems comfortable, and in many cases it is, but there were plenty of plays that had me looking to do some fightin’ of my own.
Defensive Issues Persist
The primary negative takeaway from the game is that the Ohio State run defense is going to have to improve to just get to mediocre. Illinois could have kept the game closer longer had the Illini just run wide more often.
It started early, as Ca’lil Valentine went for nine yards on the first Illinois run. On the second possession, Aidan Laughery burst for 37 yards. The Illini’s first touchdown was a Jordan Anderson 22-yard run, as it didn’t matter who Illinois handed the ball to.
Nothing got cleaned up at halftime. The first play of the second half was another 9-yard run, and Illinois had an 11-yard run on its second drive of the second half after the Buckeyes had backed the Illini up near their own goal line.
Illinois ran for 199 yards, getting to the second level of the defense often. Laughery ran for 113 yards and averaged 10.3 yards per carry. Valentine averaged 4.7 yards per tote. Anderson averaged 10, but he only had two attempts.
Ohio State’s defense was also not sharp enough on third down, allowing Illinois to pick up six conversions on 14 attempts (43%), regardless of the distance to make. While Illinois has a good offense, it is not Oregon or USC or anyone the Buckeyes might face in the postseason if they can reach it yet again.
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Matthew Stafford was written off as an injury-prone, stat-padding fraud. Then he became a champion
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Winning a Super Bowl changes everything. Yeah, sounds simple enough, but Matthew Stafford’s career could have looked a whole lot different without it. For a little over a decade, Stafford spent his days wasting away with the Detroit Lions, tossing up ridiculous record-breaking numbers with no success to show for it. They nicknamed the dude “Pat Statford” after all. Someone for sureeee cooked with that nickname, but the point is he was mostly known for empty stats with no important wins to back them up. At least he had good stats. Because early in his career, he couldn’t even claim those. Known mostly as an often-injured quarterback that the Lions blew a number one pick on. His own teammates called him a china doll. He looked like a bust. A fake franchise star meant to save a struggling team. Then, in 2021, he was traded to the Los Angeles Rams, and in his first season he earned a shiny new Super Bowl ring, shedding years of doubt.
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To make matters worse, the defense gave up a fourth-and-12 conversion, and Devin Sanchez committed multiple pass interference penalties (one on a fourth-and-4, after which Illinois scored a touchdown on the next play).
It’s kind of amazing Illinois scored only 19 points, because Ohio State’s defense is not close to the levels of the last couple of seasons.
Mathews’ Miscues
While I wouldn’t say Jermaine Mathews Jr. was terrible on the day, and in fact he was mostly fine, there were two plays that stood out in a negative light. One was a dropped interception on the first Illinois drive of the second half.
The other was a slip that allowed the Illini to convert a second-and-20 play for a first down. The second was probably bad luck, but the Buckeye secondary has dropped several potential interceptions over the last couple of weeks.
Don’t Start Falsely
Ohio State once again was prone to pre-snap penalties on its own home turf on Saturday. The Buckeyes survived them, but making the game situation harder at home against Illinois is one thing. Iowa on the road or a potential Big Ten championship game is a completely different animal.
In the first quarter, Jake Cook jumped early on second-and-4, costing the Buckeyes five yards, moving the ball from the Illini 38-yard line to the 43. Jeremiah Smith bailed him out with a 31-yard reception on the next play.
Austin Siereveld turned a fourth-and-2 situation into a fourth-and-7 with a false start. The Buckeyes went for it anyway, and Nate Roberts kept the drive alive with a reception. Roberts himself committed a false start penalty in the game, turning first-and-10 into first-and-15 after good Ja’Kobi Jackson run in the third quarter.
Devin McCuin dropped a pass right in his hands two plays later to make it third-and-9, and an incomplete pass put a halt to the possession. That drive’s end kept the Illini in the game in the third quarter.
Even Ohio State’s kicker got in on the false starting. Connor Hawkins, who only sounds like country music’s brightest new star, started his kick approach early on the extra point after Julian Sayin’s rushing touchdown in the second quarter.
The season is a third of the way over and these kinds of things should have been cleaned up by now. Again, the team was at home, rather than in a hostile environment like Happy Valley, Kinnick Stadium or the Los Angeles Coliseum.
I’m Not Mad About This One, Just Disappointed
Sometimes the things that irk me are simply when a player costs the team a cool play. That’s what happened when a holding penalty on Mason Williams wiped out a nifty one-handed catch and run by Bo Jackson right before halftime.
You’ll never erase that cool play from our minds, but wiping it out of football history is a crime against the sport.
Those are the things that made me yell Illi-BUCK! (or something that sounded kind of like that if you weren’t paying close attention) on Saturday. What stood out to you?
Of course, there were plenty of great moments as well and most of those involved Smith and Sayin, who were outstanding.
Next up: Ohio State takes on the Hawkeyes in a Saturday afternoon game in Iowa City, where every mistake is magnified.
Jeremiah Smith had the best performance of any player in college football in Week 4.
The Ohio State wide receiver was officially recognized as the week’s best player in college football, as the Associated Press named Smith its national player of the week on Monday.
Smith caught 12 passes for 217 yards and four touchdowns in Week 4, leading the nation in all three categories to lead Ohio State to a 42-19 win over Illinois. He set career-highs in all three categories, with his four touchdowns tying Ohio State’s single-game school record.
His performance cemented his standing as the biggest star in college football and propelled him to the top of the Heisman Trophy race. As of Monday afternoon, Smith has the best betting odds to win the Heisman (+260 on DraftKings/+280 on FanDuel).
Smith’s dominance even led Illinois to change defensive coordinators, as Bret Bielema announced Sunday that Illinois and Bobby Hauck had “mutually agreed” to part ways.
FIVE THINGS: JEREMIAH SMITH AND JULIAN SAYIN LIGHT UP THE ILLINI AS BUCKEYES BEGIN B1G PLAY WITH 42-19 WIN
By Chris Lauderback
It wasn't quite a Mona Lisa but No. 7 Ohio State overcame an uneven defensive performance thanks to huge afternoons from Jeremiah Smith and Julian Sayin on the way to a 42-19 win over Illinois to begin B1G play in Ohio Stadium.
The Buckeyes amassed 518 yards of total offense but allowed 462 to an Illini squad that tallied nearly 200 rushing yards on six yards per carry and racked up 15 plays of at least 10 yards.
Despite the leaky defense and an offensive attack that was largely held in check over the final 30 minutes, Ohio State built an early 14-0 lead and led by at least two touchdowns throughout the second half.
The win pushed Ohio State to 3-1 overall on a weekend that saw No. 6 Indiana win by just six over Northwestern at home, No. 4 Ole Miss get boat raced by 24 at Florida, No. 12 USC lose by 14 to at home to Oregon and No. 13 Penn State drop a 4-point decision at home to Wisconsin.
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Next up for the Buckeyes is a big time clash with Iowa in Kinnick Stadium next Saturday at 3:30 but before we turn full focus to the Hawkeyes, here are Five Things from yesterday's 23-point victory over Bert Bielema's Fighting Illini.
SAYIN SOMETHING
Over the last few weeks in this here column, I've lamented picking Julian Sayin as my Heisman winner, as the signal caller struggled with accuracy (for him), performance in the clutch and finding the open man.
I also noted it was early September and there was plenty of time for Sayin to fully show improvement in all the areas in which he focused on during the offseason.
Yesterday against the Illini, Sayin put it all together as he completed 27-of-36 passes for 367 yards and four scores with another touchdown and 29 yards on the ground.
During a 19-play (!), 96-yard touchdown drive that we could look back on if he goes on a heater, Sayin was sensational with both his arm and legs as Ohio State built a 21-7 lead with 4:12 left in the second quarter.
Sayin converted three straight third down with his legs, moving the chains on a 3rd-and-7 with an elite 8-yard scramble that saw him shrug off a pair of tacklers before a couple successful quarterback sneaks on back-to-back 3rd-and-1s.
Later in the drive, on 4th-and-7, he calmly found tight end Nate Roberts for eight yards. Three plays later on 3rd-and-10, he stood in the pocket, stared down a blitzer and unleashed a dart to Devin McCuin for 14 yards before taking a hard shot. On the next snap, Sayin hit Jeremiah Smith for a 9-yard touchdown. Smith's footwork in the end zone stole the spotlight but it was a great throw to culminate maybe Sayin's best series at Ohio State.
After Illinois kicked a field goal on the ensuing possession to make it 21-10 good guys, Sayin went back to work with 1:32 left leading a 10-play, 75-yard touchdown march to make it 28-10 with 15 seconds left before intermission.
Sayin completed 5-of-6 throws on the drive including a 20-yarder to Roberts and a 23-yard strike to Phillip Bell before finishing it off with a 7-yard touchdown run ending in a dive to the front left pylon that electrified the Buckeye faithful.
Overall, Sayin's performance gave fans a ton to be excited about heading into the meat of a gauntlet that starts next weekend in Iowa City.
4 SCORE
It's officially (beyond?) time to debate if Jeremiah Smith is a top-2 player in Ohio State football history. I said on yesterday's After Carmen it's Archie, Orlando and Jeremiah in that discussion and for the moment, I'd probably still have them in that order but there's a lot of season left and if you have Smith higher than No. 3 on your list right now, I'm not hating.
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The dude looked like a man among boys yesterday as he piled up 12 catches for 217 yards and four touchdowns.
For context, it was just the seventh time an OSU pass catcher went for at least 200 yards and only the fifth instance of one recording four touchdowns in a game. Only Jeremiah and Terry Glenn can say they had at least 200 receiving yards and four touchdowns in the same game while wearing the scarlet and gray.
His 7-yard grab made it 7-0 early, a 72-yarder made it 14-0, his noted 9-yarder to make it 21-7 was the highlight of the day and a 26-yarder made it 35-13 early in the fourth quarter.
The 72-yarder was fun - he had this defensive back in hell the entire way, with the zig-zag at the end serving as a cherry on top.
And then there's this one. I mean what in the world - the body control, spatial awareness, concentration, footwork. Like, c'mon. Total alien shit.
He's the best player in college football and I'm not sure it's all that close.
Also, shout out to Arthur Smith getting JJ another 16 targets.
Through four games, Smith now stands at 33 receptions (8.3 per game) for 617 yards (154.3 per game) and seven touchdowns (1.8 per game).
If the Heisman Trust or whoever runs that stuff these days has any stones, they'll only invite Jeremiah to NYC in December.
THE JACKSONS
Ohio State's run game will likely never be spectacular this year - too many of these guys simply don't break enough tackles - but the Bo Jackson / Ja'Kobi Jackson duo was solid yesterday combining for 125 total yards on 5.2 yards per touch.
Ryan Day challenged the running back room to run violent in his Tuesday presser and for the most part, I think Bo rose to that challenge while Ja'Kobi always runs with bad intentions.
I felt like Bo finished his runs especially in the first half and he remains a solid threat as a receiver out of the backfield. He only had three grabs for 16 yards but had another nice catch and run wiped out by a holding penalty.
If he could just make more dudes miss or break some tackles at the second level, this offense could take off.
For his part, Ja'Kobi led the squad with 10 carries for 56 yards and a score. He also carried it twice on third down, going for five yards on 3rd-and-1 and then 15 yards on 3rd-and-4.
Nobody will mistake these guys for TreVeyon and Quinshon but if Ohio State can get a combined 125+ yards on 5+ yards per touch from them, that won't be mistaken for elite but it could be enough to keep defenses from totally selling out to stop Sayin and Smith.
FRONT SICKS
I wrote last week how the front six of Ohio State's defense flat out doesn't have any elite players, at least at this point, and yesterday was just the latest illustration as the Illini ran for 199 yards on 6.03 yards per carry.
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Aidan Laughery chewed up 113 of that on 10.3 per try and the Illini fared well on third down rushing for 50 yards on 8.3 per attempt, moving the chains on four of six carries.
The worst of that saw Laughery get loose for 18 yards on 3rd-and-10 and quarterback Katin Houser go for 25 yards on 3rd-and-7 late in the contest.
Defensive end Kenyatta Jackson Jr., by far the most talented guy up front, had his moments and I thought defensive tackle John Walker played well at times as the duo combined for five stops and a sack.
Jason Moore got some run this week as a DT that might step up (one stop), freshman Khary Wilder didn't play much but registered a quarterback hurry, Will Smith had a TFL, Beau Atkinson had a couple stops and half a sack, Qua Russaw made a cameo with two stops, and James Smith and Eddrick Houston both finished with one tackle.
Hey, I like the depth in the rotation up front but Matt Patricia would certainly love to see a few guys step in a way that makes it harder to take them off the field.
At linebacker, I do think Christian Alliegro is quietly solid and he posted six stops with a PBU yesterday. Payton Pierce also had six stops and half a sack. Pierce's backup, Riley Pettijohn, had three stops and continued his playmaking penchant with a pair of TFLs. TJ Alford also recorded three stops with a PBU.
All of these guys are absolutely serviceable in my view but will any evolve into an elite defensive force? I'm holding out hope for Pettijohn to do exactly that.
But right now, this front six looks like most programs would expect after losing Kayden McDonald, Caden Curry, Sonny Styles and Arvell Reese to the NFL. As I said last week, we have to remember it's still September.
SECONDARY LEAD
While the defensive line and linebackers continue to be a work in progress, the secondary remains the strength of the defense.
The group wasn't perfect yesterday as Katin Houser threw for 263 yards with a touchdown but it held Houser to a 57% completion rate and came up big in the game's biggest moments.
Safety Jaylen McClain had his best game of the young season with a team-leading eight stops and four PBUs - one of those coming on a huge 4th-and-4 from the OSU 20 to turn the Illini over on downs and preserve a 28-13 lead.
Devin Sanchez had a busy afternoon with seven stops and three PBUs, fellow corner Jermaine Mathews Jr. also had seven tackles and a trio of PBUs, Earl Little Jr. posted six stops and Jay Timmons, before leaving with an apparent hamstring issue, posted one stop and a PBU.
Combined, the secondary boasted the top four tacklers on the day and recorded about 45% of the team's total stops (yikes) plus 11 of the 12 PBUs.
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